Some relevant methodological publications, in no particular order. We look forward to hearing about other publications that can be added to this list.
Riley RD, Sauerbrei W, Altman DG. Prognostic markers in cancer: The evolution of evidence from single studies to meta-analysis and beyond. British Journal of Cancer (2009) In press.
Altman DG. Prognostic models: A methodological framework and review of models for breast cancer. Cancer Investigation. (2009) 27; 235-243.
Hayden JA, Côté P, Steenstra IA, Bombardier C, for the QUIPS-LBP Working Group. Identifying phases of investigation helps planning, appraising and applying the results of explanatory prognosis studies. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology (2008) 61; 552-560.
Riley RD, Abrams KR, Lambert PC, Sutton AJ, Thompson JR. An evaluation of bivariate random-effects meta-analysis for the joint synthesis of two correlated outcomes. Statistics in Medicine. (2007) 26 (1); 78-97.
Riley RD, Ridley G, Williams K, Altman DG, Hayden J, de Vet HC. Prognosis research: towards evidence-based results and a Cochrane Methods Group. [Comment]. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology (2007) 60 (8); 863-865.
Sauerbrei W, Holländer N, Riley RD, Altman DG..; [in press].Evidence based assessment and application of prognostic markers: The long way from single studies to meta-analysis. Communications in Statistics- Theory and Methods. (2006) 35; 1333-42
Riley RD, Abrams KR, Lambert PC, Sutton AJ, Altman DG. Where next for evidence synthesis of prognostic marker studies? Improving the quality and reporting of primary studies to facilitate clinically relevant evidence-based results. In: Molenberghs G (eds). Proceedings of the Statistics in Health Sciences Conference Nantes 2004. Birkhauser and Springer.
Heymans MW, Van Buuren S, Knol DL, Van Mechelenen W, de Vet HCW. Variable selection under multiple imputation using the bootstrap in a prognostic study. BMC Med Res Methodology. 2007 Jul 13;7:33
McShane LM, Altman DG, Sauerbrei W, Taube SE, Gion M, Clark GM, for the Staisticis Subcommittee of the NCI-EORTC Working Group on Cancer Diagnostics. REporting recommendations for tumour MARKer prognostic studies (REMARK).
British Journal of Cancer (2005) 93(4); 387-91
Eur. J. Cancer (2005) 41; 1690-96
Nature Clinical Practice Oncology (2005) 2(8); 416-22
Journal of the National Cancer Institute (2005) 97(16); 1180-4
Altman DG, Riley RD. Primer: an evidence-based approach to prognostic markers. Nature Clinical Practice Oncology (2005) 2;466-72
Riley RD. Evidence Synthesis of Prognostic Marker Studies (Ph.D. Thesis). University of Leicester
Panayiotis A.K., Konstantinos T.L., Ioannidis J.P.A. Selective reporting biases in cancer prognostic factor studies. J. National Cancer Institute (2005) 97(14); 1043-55
Malats N. Bustos A. Nascimento CM. Fernandez F. Rivas M. Puente D. Kogevinas M. Real FX. P53 as a prognostic marker for bladder cancer: a meta-analysis and review. Lancet Oncology (2005) 6(9); 678-86
Wilczynski NL, Haynes RB. Optimal search strategies for detecting clinically sound prognostic studies in EMBASE: an analytic survey. J Am Med Inform Assoc.(2005) 12(4); 481-5
Wilczynski NL, Haynes RB; Hedges Team. Developing optimal search strategies for detecting clinically sound prognostic studies in MEDLINE: an analytic survey. BMC Med.2; 23
Riley RD, Abrams KR, Sutton AJ, et al. Reporting of prognostic markers: current problems and development of guidelines for evidence-based practice in the future. British Journal of Cancer (2003) 88(8); 1191-8
Altman DG. Systematic reviews of evaluations of prognostic variables. In: Egger M, Davey Smith G, Altman DG, editor(s). Systematic reviews of health care: meta-analysis in context. London: BMJ Books
Counsell C. Dennis M. Systematic review of prognostic models in patients with acute stroke. Cerebrovascular Diseases (2001) 12(3); 159-70
How to use an orthopaedic article about prognosis. http://www.aofoundation.org/portal/wps/portal/!ut/p/.cmd/cs/.ce/7_0_A/.s/7_0_7UF/_s.7_0_A/7_0_7UF. The AO is a non-profit surgeon-driven organization dedicated to progress in research, development, and education in the field of trauma and corrective surgery.
Bosch van de J, Kalkman CJ, Vergouwe Y, Klei van WA, Bonsel GJ, Grobbee DE, Moons KGM. Assessing the applicability of scoring systems that predict postoperative nausea and vomiting. Anaesthesia (2005) 60; 323-31
Moons KG, Donders ART, Steyerberg EW, Harrell FE. Penalized maximum likelihood estimation to directly adjust diagnostic and prognostic prediction models for overoptimism: a clinical example. J Clin. Epidemiol. (2004) 57; 1262-70
Moons KG, Harrell FE, Steyerberg EW. Should scoring rules be based on odds ratios or regression coefficients? J Clin Epidemiol (2002) 55; 1054-55
Kalkman CJ, Bonsel GJ, Visser K, Moen J, Grobbee DE, Moons KGM. Preoperative prediction of severe postoperative pain. Pain (2003) 105; 415-23
Aina A, May S, Clare H. The centralization phenomenon ofspinal symptoms?a systematic review. Manual Therapy (2004) 9; 134-43
JA Hayden, P Côté, C Bombardier. Quality appraisal in systematic reviews of prognosis studies: Descriptive analysis and recommendations. Annals Internal medicine (2006) 144 (6); 427-37